28 Dec
Posted by: admin in: Free books, Open Educational Resources
Not sure that anyone will want to read this; however, if you’re researching the influence of free digital books on print sales the review of literature may be helpful to you. Below is a version of the first two chapters of my dissertation. I’ve had to take out a few parts because some of the studies I cite have to be published before I can legally cite them; however, most of these chapters are available. I welcome any feedback you are willing to offer.
These chapters are available at the below link:
On another note — all the data for the dissertation. has been collected. Here is the short version of the results:
102,556 free e-books were downloaded during the study (18,000 more since the study “ended”). This number seems to be sufficiently large to indicate that there is a demand for free e-books and that enough people viewed them as to possibly have an impact on sales.
In the ten weeks following the free books being made available, sales of the seven books studied increased 25.9%. In contrast, the previous year sales of these seven books decreased 38.2% over the same time period. Furthermore, in 2009 the comparison books declined 15.6% (even after the title with the largest decreases in sales had been excluded). In 2008 the comparison books declined 6.4% (after the two titles with the largest decreases in sales had been excluded). Thus, based on historical and comparison sales it would be expected that print sales of the seven books would decrease during the ten weeks following the free versions of the books being made available. This decrease would be expected not as a result of the free versions; rather, it would be expected based on the fact that sales decreased the year previously, and well as for the comparison titles. However, sales did not decrease. The fact that sales increased when a decrease was to be expected is one of the most important findings of this study.
More to come!
9 Responses
Neal
07|Jan|2010 1It seems like your research indicates that people want to find new books without jumping a price barrier, and that when they find something they like they are willing to pay for it. Anjuno.com is trying to set up something like that using a pick your price model. There should be some interesting changes coming to the book world in the next few years.
John Dale
29|Mar|2011 2There is so much free material available for download today that it is mind boggling! Nonetheless, there is still a perception that free equates to poor quality and that you get what you pay for. For this reason, there will continue to be a market and many people will be happy to pay a high price for what they perceive as being high value.
Jason Scofield
31|Mar|2011 3Hi John,
This is quite an interesting study. I do a lot of reading for both educational and recreational purposes and it’s interesting to compare my own behaviour with the stats you give here.
The interesting thing is, when it comes to recreational reading (fiction) I will go out and buy the physical book 100% the time, because nothing beats the feeling of lying in bed or in front of the fireplace with a good book. Howeverm when it comes to educational stuff and work related stuff it’s almost the opposite and I don’t mind spening hours reading e-books on the computer.
Keep up the good work.
Jason Scofield
Webmaster,
Wendy Houses Cape Town
Colin L.
31|Mar|2011 4“The interesting thing is, when it comes to recreational reading (fiction) I will go out and buy the physical book 100% the time”
Jason, I used to do that as well. However now with the Kindle and IPAD, I now buy only transfer the ebook to my I-Tunes and read next to the fire. My Mom actually will go out and buy the book still, even if it is on the computer. I honestly think there is a generational influence on this.
Colin
Property Management Thousand Oaks
Slash
01|Apr|2011 5I’ve worked in publishing for some years (I’ve been a project leader for the Harry Potter books at a publishing house that had the rights in one of the European countries) and I agree with the statement that free digital publications can help you sell printed books.
Just as you say in the document, good content brings lots of visitors to your site and a small percentage of them will buy the book. But the point is, one you get them, you can offer them more books or other products they may be interested in – you just have to do it right and not be too pushy about it. My experience is that this will make them come back again and you get a returning customer from a free book.
Sam Weston
11|Apr|2011 6Although the number of free e-books downloaded is high at 102,556 I wonder just what sort of percentage of these are actually read. There seems to be something of a ‘free’ culture which is especially strong on the Internet and I believe that a large number of people just download things because they are free and never have any intention of actually doing anything with them.
Sam – The Club Car and EZ GO golf carts guy
Michael
11|Apr|2011 7“There are a lot of factors at play here.
Freely available books would help people develop a reading habit- which would help increase the sales of other books.
However, some people may restrict themselves to free books alone if a decent collection is available, so that may hurt sales.
A lot more data is needed to make any kind of analysis out of this.
Michael Holman,
Webmaster, http://omega3information.com/“
Henry
11|Apr|2011 8- However, sales did not decrease. The fact that sales increased when a decrease was to be expected is one of the most important findings of this study -
I think this statement speaks volumes. By giving something out free you sometime stimulate ensuing purchases of a product. Look at how Costco gives out the samples e.g., it’s the same for books.
Dave
18|Apr|2011 9I believe that if your product, whether a book or something else, can be freely obtained by those who know how, it can actually strengthen its position in the market. An obvious example of this is the operating systems and software of Microsoft, which have been pirated all over the world, making them the de facto standard. (It remains to be seen how their more recent forays into copy-prevention will affect their dominance.)
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